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They said it's still possible to expect profit over the long-term, you just won't have an edge over the market as a whole. ldjkfkdsjnv 2y Look at Nvidia stock, the market knocked it all the way down and then all the way back up. There is no efficient market.
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這次模型到底改了什麼呢?其實也沒什麼,搞這行的都知道market user(相信市場資訊)和market maker(不相信市場資訊);market user的好壞剛說了,market maker也有它的好壞;極端的market maker就是指使用模型的人對模型有摩西對上帝一樣的信心,模型參數一旦決定,就不再變,市價都是模型價算完再去定,所以好處是consistent,不會有管理上的矛盾,壞處是萬一錯了,會是永不知反省的死硬派;以巴菲特為例,他可能就趨向market maker,自己會算一個模型價而且對他這個模型非常有信心,即使再便宜,市價比模型價高就不買。